Wednesday, February 22, 2006

Pickups for Potential.

Got an itchy trigger finger? Want to make some moves to take advantage of the trade deadline, but tired of waiting for NBA GM’s to make a move? Here are a five guys that are nice bets to take if you’ve got an extra roster spot hanging around:

Marvin Williams, F, ATL
Williams has already been getting talked about as the Sam Bowie to Chris Paul’s Michael Jordan, but it’s way too early for that kind of talk. Williams has been mildly effective in his 23 mpg so far this season, and has seen that number creep up to 25 mpg in February. Right now, he’s got potential as a do-a-little-of-everything kind of guy. Given 35 mpg, he should contribute a bit in both defensive categories, rebounds, points, and threes. With Al Harrington a reasonable bet to get moved, Williams is worth taking a chance on.

Travis Outlaw, F, POR
Outlaw is in a similar situation to Williams, as he’s been fighting with a lot of guys for PT, and could see that PT clear up by the time the deadline passes. He’s more likely to be effective with his minutes than Williams, as he’s right now a better rebounder and defender, but the odds of him ending up in a situation where he’s got 35 mpg are much worse than Williams. Still, his potential should he end up with those kind of minutes is fairly on par with a Kenyon Martin type, where he’ll contribute mildly in points and boards, but his real value will come in his defensive numbers.

Voshon Lenard, SG, DEN
This is a very minor one. I don’t expect Lenard to be putting up huge numbers anywhere come next week, but the report that he could be released if not traded means that he should at least be playing somewhere come March. Early prediction – he’ll end up in Detroit. Regardless, if he ends up as a 20-25 mpg kind of guy for a contender means that he should be able to contribute in three pointers. He’ll be a very nice down-the-stretch pickup for roto teams looking to make a move in three pointers, and could max out as high as a MoPete-esque contributor.

Jose Calderon, PG, TOR
Calderon was one of the most added and quickly dropped guys early in the season, showing some ability as a 3rd guard but never being consistent enough. But with Mike James potentially getting moved, and Jalen Rose already gone, there aren’t many players left to handle the rock north of the border. Remember, during that 9-game stretch in late November/early December where he was seeing around 36 mpg, he put up OK numbers – 7.4 assists, 1.4 steals, and 4.7 boards, along with very nice percentages. With another few months under his belt, and fewer scorers on the team, I’d like to think he could push that scoring into double digits.

Joe Smith, PF, MIL
Smith has proven that when he gets his minutes, he can be a fairly solid fantasy contributor. Now that he’s returned from injury, he’s been getting about 20 mpg in the crowded frontcourt in Milwaukee. However, there are two reason to believe that he could start seeing closer to 30 mpg. One, Jamaal Magloire has been mentioned as a potential trade candidate and that would surely open up minutes for Smith. Two, Andrew Bogut could very well be hitting the rookie wall. His FG%, points and boards are all down significantly in February, and he might benefit from a cut in minutes, meaning more time for Smith. Admittedly, Smith is a fairly low-reward pickup, but solid bigs are tough to find.

5 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Any thoughts on the fantasy ramifications of the Francis trade to NY? In paricular, how will this affect orando and Ariza?

2:54 PM  
Blogger Domo_kuun said...

Ya, what is this deal gonna do for Marbury? As a Marbury owner, I am pretty much up shit creek...I mean, no one will want him in a trade now, and his assists are just gonna hit rock bottom....I wanna get him off my hands now...suggestions? Who should I target? I understand I'll take a hit no matter what, but i just want to salvage something.....

damn isiah thomas....

3:07 PM  
Blogger bv said...

I'm a marbury owner too, and i'll say this. i wouldn't try to trade him. his value can't be any lower than it is right now, and honestly you're better off just holding on to him and cutting your losses. furthermore, i wouldn't be the least bit surprised if either francis or marbury gets moved in the next 24 hours.

as for orlando, this opens up a nice opportunity for keyon dooling and, to a lesser extent, carlos arroyo before jameer nelson returns, and one or both are worth consideration. I can't imagine Ariza will have too much value, but that's a wait-and-see thing. I'm sure DM will have much, much more in tomorrow's column.

3:16 PM  
Blogger Domo_kuun said...

What do you see longterm for Felton? He's been doing great lately, but when is Kareem Rush coming back? How solid are Felton's minutes looking at the rest of the season, not just the current moment?

7:24 PM  
Anonymous bublitchki said...

Domo:

If Felton is somehow still available in your league, pick him up yesterday. Or, if you can get the Felton owner to bite on a Marbury for Felton deal, I'd try that too.

I've been pimping Felton on this blog for a few weeks now. I think that, statistically, he's likely to put up pretty comparable numbers to Chris Paul from here on out. Better yet, dude's a gamer. He wasn't even supposed to play this week as his car was rear-ended by a drunk driver over the weekend. But all he's done in the two games since that accident is total 24 pts, 8 rebs, 21 dimes, 4 steals, a three and a a block. Not bad for a guy who was diagnosed with whiplash immediately following the accident.

Given that durability and Knight's fragility, he figures to get several more starts at PG before the season's end. But at the very worst, he'll probably be part of a three guard rotation (w/Knight & Rush) and should be good for 30 mins/gm. going forward.

1:46 AM  

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