Friday, January 06, 2006

Weekend Preview: 1/6-1/8

Before we get started, I’m not going to sit here and pretend that my eyes will be focused solely on basketball this weekend. My Washington Redskins are returning to the playoffs for the first time in a bazillion years, so my attention will not be on the NBA all weekend long. Let’s go Redskins.

Also, we have received some calls recently for another mailbag – so if you’ve got some questions, fire away at fantasybasketblogATgmail.com. We’ll try and sort through the fun next week.

Okay then! On with the preview. All season we’d been amazed at how well Chris Webber had been playing. But an injury was bound to happen, and last night it did. He missed a game with a sore back, and apparently it had been hurting him for awhile. He’s also dealing with a sore wrist, and if there’s anybody who can be counted on to miss some time, it’s Webber. I don’t need to go through his injury history, but needless to say, he’s not going to play 80 games this year.

On top of Webber being Webber, Allen Iverson left Wednesday’s game against the Suns with a bum ankle and is a question mark going in to Friday’s game against the Lakers. It’s the only game the Sixers play all weekend, but if both Webber and AI are out, that’s 52.9 ppg sitting on the bench for Philly, and it’s going to be a great chance to see some role players showcase what they can do. Now I’m not saying that any of these players are going to have any real value going forward, but it’s always fun to see some guys take the lead that you don’t often see handling the rock much, and should Webber or AI miss significant time, these guys could all be worth considering:

Shavlik Randolph, PF – Randolph, an undrafted rookie out of Duke (yeah, I thought all Duke players got drafted, too), has shown a terrific knack for grabbing rebounds. Over 40 minutes, he grabs almost 13 rebounds, while chipping in almost 12 points, 1.6 steals and .8 blocks. Given the minutes, he could be – at worst – a Reggie Evans clone.

John Salmons, G/F – Salmons is in his fourth year with the Sixers and has found a nice niche as an off-the-bench slasher. He’s a poor shooter, but given starter’s minutes he’s capable of being a doesn’t-hurt-your team kind of player, contributing in points, boards, assists, steals, and threes.

Lee Nailon, F – Nailon has been on seven different teams in his six years in the league, and will really only help you in points and FG%. He peaked out last year in New Orleans at 14.2/4.4 in 30 minutes. I’d have to see him do something pretty special to consider picking him up at any point in the future.

Again, we’re not recommending that you pick these guys up, or even put them on the radar screen. This is more for your long-term benefit, so that if, say, Shavlik Randolph is in line for some major minutes later this year or even next year, you’ll know how to value him.
Game of the Week(end)

Utah Jazz at Detroit Pistons, Sat. 1/7, 7:30PM EST

After all the talk regarding defensive stats on Wednesday, how about a game that features three of the biggest contributors to defensive stats in the league? The rejuvenated Andrei Kirilenko will be facing off against the defensive duo of Ben and Rasheed Wallace. All of these guys are averaging over 1.5 blocks and 1.5 steals, so this will be a fun chance to watch all of them on the court at the same time. Meanwhile, the Utah PG position – which DM talked about on Monday – is still in flux, with Keith McLeod as the new starter and rookie Deron Williams still struggling. With Jerry Sloan running things, you’ll never learn much from one game, but you’ll still get a peek at how each is performing in their new roles.

22 Comments:

Anonymous Andy said...

Apropos of nothing, Eddie Griffin now has center eligibility in Yahoo leagues. Sure you don't want him, bublitchki?

2:33 PM  
Blogger Jeremy said...

Well, that does beg the question. Right now I have Bobby Jackson, Andres Nocioni and Nenad Krstic on my team. I don't think I want to drop Jackson right now due to increased PT, but Andres seems to be an afterthought in Chicago now with them starting three PG's and Deng and Sweetney/Chandler..and with Songolia seeing more time.

I already dropped Griffin once...do I do it again with one of my guys on the edge? My league is H2H and has 12 cats (minutes, points, 3pm, ft, fg, steals, blks, reb, oreb, TOs, technicals, assists)?

If he could get thirty minutes, I might do it, but that doesn't seem to be the case. Talk about the ultimate tease. And I thought Rasheed played under-potential in Portland...Griffin is too much like that...though only 23.

3:09 PM  
Anonymous bublitchki said...

help me... please.. i'm a sick, sick man...

after seeing that griffin is now c eligible, i went and picked him back up... again...

help...

3:48 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think Griffin's value definitly increased now he's gained C eligibility in yahoo leagues, I went ahead and kept him as he's still pretty useful in boards and blocks, and an occasional good offensive outing.

Dwane Casey says he likes Olowokandi's favorible matchups against second string centers coming off the bench, so looks like the minutes will still be there for the kandiman.

6:42 PM  
Blogger JM said...

Even in limited minutes Griffin is a top 15 center due to his 2.3 blks/game and 6.1 rebounds/game. (assuming your league uses standard categories, i.e. doesn't count minutes.)

And he's been playing much better during his last 4 games, increasing his avg pts to 10, his FG% to 55% and his blocks up to 2.8.

IF he can keep this up (big if), he's a fine #2 center for a 12 team league. (standard roto categories).

There are very few centers who give you 10 pts, 6 rbs, 2 blks.
I believe Camby,Duncan,J.Oneil are the only ones.
Dalembert's relatively close: 8 pts, 10 rbs, 3.2 blks, as is Mourning (when Shaq's hurt)-9pts,7rbs,3.2blks

6:56 PM  
Blogger MKD said...

PR? Who the hell is PR?

6:57 PM  
Blogger bv said...

good eye, MKD ... you'll find out soon enough.

11:03 PM  
Anonymous Andy said...

Surprise! EGriff had 2 points and 3 boards in a measly 13 minutes in his "Center" debut. Sigh...

1:19 AM  
Blogger boredinpittsburgh said...

Don't forget Brad Miller an Yao Ming, they put up nice numbers at the C spot

1:38 AM  
Anonymous bublitchki said...

13 minutes played...

It was inevitable from the moment I picked him up.

Any ideas why Casey hates on Eddie so?

1:43 AM  
Blogger DM said...

Maybe because he's a "center" who has never shot over 40% from the field and who would rather hang around the 3-point line on offense despite the fact that he's hitting 20% of his shots from there this year and 32% in his career? The Wolves have no interior threat on offense. KG isn't a banger. Kandi sucks, but at least he's always around the basket and gives the Wolves some semblance of an inside threat. Presence would probably be a better word than threat, actually.

There's a reason it was the Eddie Griffin Never Again Memorial All-Stars.

10:39 AM  
Anonymous bublitchki said...

If that's indeed the case, then why would Casey go through the bother of telling the St. Paul Pioneer Press that "We're going to keep Eddie in the starting lineup." I'm sorry, Coach; if a player is on the floor at the beginning of a game but only plays 13 minutes - he's not a starter.

If the coach really believes that Griffin is nothing more than a 6'10" John Starks wannabe, why not leave him languishing in the third string and continue to chew his butt out in practice until he truly understands his role? I just do not understand what's going on in Minny right now.

So: Is there, like, a 12-step program out there to help owners like me break the Eddie Griffin habit?

12:42 PM  
Blogger Domo_kuun said...

Hey I need your guys' advice:
My centers are Okafor and Amare, so I've been looking to pick up a solid backup who can play a lot of time in the next few months and still be useful even after Amare comes back. The guy I REALLY want is Dalembert.
My team:
PG Stephon Marbury
SG Ray Allen
G Ricky Davis
SF Lamar Odom
PF Troy Murphy
F Richard Jefferson
C Emeka Okafor
B David West
B Caron Butler
B Brevin Knight
B Delonte West
B Amare Stoudemire

His team:
PG Steve Nash
SG Larry Hughes
G Gilbert Arenas
SF Carmelo Anthony
PF Tim Duncan
F Zach Randolph
C Sam Dalembert
B Kirk Hinrich
B Jamal Magloire
B Ike Diogu
B Eddie Griffin
B Earl Watson

What would be a fair trade for me to grab Dalembert and not hurt my team by giving up too much?

7:06 PM  
Anonymous bublitchki said...

I think with Hughes down for the next 6-8 weeks, he looks pretty weak at SG. So you may want to offer up someone like Ricky Davis.

I think Davis' value is at peak right now and he'd probably bite. You would pick up Dalembert and then go ahead and plug in Delonte West at your G spot.

Judging by the trend of the last several weeks, Delonte is taking on an increased role in the Celts' offense and could wind up being a real nice player by season's end. This, in turn, would probably result in a decreased value for Davis which is another reason why you may think about dealing him now.

1:26 AM  
Blogger Jeremy said...

I concur about that trade. Dalembert is doing good, especially since Cheeks is really playing his starters. That, with the fact that Webber might see less time to heal injuries, means more boards for Sammy.

I was sketchy on everyone in Boston other than Pierce and Davis at the beginning of the season; I figured Dickau, Banks and West would be fighting for the PG spot, but injuries solved that problem and West is the obvious starter and No3 option. (The Boston frontcourt is still in shambles). And with his team hurting for a SG, as he really doesn't have a decent on on the bench, it's very possibe he'd do that deal....in fact, I doubt anyone else on his team has SG eligibility, depending on your league, so he probably is pretty desperate.

Good luck.

1:44 AM  
Blogger Jeremy said...

Oh, one more thing (I wish there was a way I could edit my last post).

Since he is so desperate, you could try to low-ball him and send him Delonte, Caron, or Knight if they are SG eligibile. Obviously you don't want to offend him, but it seems that he is (or at least should be) quite desperate, so you might get him to bite on lesser value, as Hughes will be out for a while.

Is the league H2H or Roto...how many CATs? Regardless, I do agree that this is the way to go to get your big defensive center.

1:48 AM  
Blogger Domo_kuun said...

it's a 10-team H2H league with 9 CATS....thanks for all your help guys!

2:37 AM  
Blogger Jeremy said...

For a 10-team league, I think that you have quite a roster...I was wondering how many teams there were for you to have the players that you do.

The only other thing I would consider is if you set lineups weekly or daily. If it were daily, I have no problem trading Ricky for Sammy, even though I think that it might be giving up too much for him. However, if it is a weekly lineup then soon you'll have Sammy, Okafor and Amare and only two spots to start them in (PF,C) with Troy Murphy also playing well and in the mix for one of them...meanwhile you'll be a little weaker at SG and may be overloaded with big men...which is the position to have too much talent at IMO.

Anyways, I guess that that is just the one consideration of mine that came to mine. Sammy's been good in blocks and rebounds, but not really much else. But if it's a daily lineup thing, but sure, do the trade since it will also diversify your lineup in terms of what team they play on.

3:37 AM  
Blogger DM said...

I was at the Celtics/Wizards game last night, and while it was nice to see a Wizards win, I did age about 6 years in the last 27 seconds. (The Wizards were winning 101-94 with 27 seconds left and were losing 102-101 with 9 seconds left. That's hard to do.)

Anyway, the player who impressed me the most last night was easily Delonte West. The kid can just flat out play. He's a dead-eye shooter, good rebounder, explosive going to the basket. His line last night came in 25 minutes due to foul trouble. Love Delonte.

Ricky for Sammy D is a fair deal, but I'd be surprised if he wanted to move Dalembert. He has no one else to replace him with. Magloire/Diogu/Griffin? Yikes.

12:06 PM  
Anonymous Adam said...

Hey guys, I got a trade offer sent to me, wanted to hear some input from y'all. I give up Pryzbilla and Vince Carter, I get back Steve Francis and Rasheed Wallace. Pryzbilla's been on my bench anyway, so the only cats I'be losing in overall are pts, some FG% and FT%. I'm 1st in my league in pts and FT%, and I could use a little help in rebounding, assists, and steals. Thoughts?

11:49 PM  
Blogger DM said...

As a general rule, I never like a trade if you aren't getting the best player invovled. And Carter is clearly the best player here.

1:25 AM  
Blogger Jeremy said...

...and Steve Francis is having a horrible year too.

4:19 AM  

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