Friday, November 18, 2005

Weekend Preview: 11/18-11/20

Now that we’re about 10% of the way though the season, it might be time to take a step back and reassess some of the guys who are simply taking up space on your roster. Who’s going to turn it around? Who’s just going to continue to do next to nothing? The higher the draft pick, the tougher it is to swallow your pride and drop them, but here are some guys we’re going to be watching this weekend as they could end up on the waiver wire by Monday:

Kyle Korver, SF, Phi (Fri @ Mia, Sat vs. Cle)
Korver was drafted on average in the 6th round this year, surrounded by the likes of Carmelo Anthony, Antawn Jamison, and Zachary Randolph. Those were some lofty expectations, and he has come nowhere close to living up to them. He’s certainly playing better now than the first week of the season, but he’s a guy who needs to score 15 ppg with 3 3pg in order to have fantasy value. The lack of steals are also a concern.

Josh Smith, G/F, Atl (Fri @ NOK)
Many fantasy owners had really high hopes for Josh Smith, and those hopes are quickly running smack in to reality. Part of this was predictable – after all, with Josh Childress, Al Harrington, and Marvin Williams all playing the same position(s) as Smith, where were the extra minutes going to come from? The other part is more of a concern – Smith just hasn’t improved at all. With essentially the same minutes as last year, he’s shooting worse, rebounding less, passing less, and turning the ball over more. Sure, his blocks are incredible, but if Adonal Foyle qualified at shooting guard, would you play him there?

Erick Dampier, C, Dal (Sat vs. Det)
Let’s sum up Erick Dampier’s last two games: 30 minutes. 10 fouls. 10 turnovers. 8 rebounds. Zero points. Zero blocks. Zero steals. Zero fantasy value. When you are losing time to Dasagana Diop, you know things are bad. Not only could he end up on the waiver wire this weekend, but he could stay there all year.

Raja Bell, SG, Pho (Fri vs. Utah, Sat. @ SA)
Bell was quite the hot prospect this summer, getting a ton of talk for a guy who had never scored more than 12 ppg in his career. Looks like the talk may have been just that. Bell’s stats this year in Phoenix are strikingly similar to last year in Utah. He’s shooting a little more from long range, but he was a marginal fantasy player last year, and he might just be a marginal fantasy player this year as well.

Game of the Week(end)
Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Lakers, (Sun, 9:30 EST)
With all the talk about the Bulls (and in particular, Mike Sweetney) yesterday, here’s a good chance to watch a full game and see what Skiles has in store for the guy. But here at FBB, we’re going to watching Chris Mihm just as closely. He’s had a nice little three-game run, and as Smush Parker comes back to Earth, an Kwame Brown continues to be himself, Mihm could emerge as the number three option in LA.


Anonymous bublitchki said...

I know there's already been several inquiries about Stromile Swift in recent posts, but I'm still unsure what I should do ith him.

When I first heard that he'd be coming off the bench behind Howard, I thought it would only be a matter of time before he was elevated to the starter's role. Well, that doesn't seem to be happening and, worse yet, his numbers in limited minutes certainly don't suggest that he even deserves to start.

How do you guys see this thing playing out? Do you think he'll eventually get starter's minutes? If so, his C eligibility makes him worth hanging on to. Or do you foresee him remaining in the same time share situation, thereby rendering him useless?

12:35 PM  
Blogger bv said...

oh, boy. you know, other than Baron Davis and maybe Tim Duncan, there has been perhpas no other player who we've discussed as much as Swift.

Here's where my thinking is right now. Some folks are great in real life, but not in fantasy. Similarly, there are some folks who are great in fantasy, but really not that valueable in real life. Maybe Swift is one of those guys. Great in fantasy, not so much in real life.

That said, you can't drop him. You just can't. Just hold out hope that Howard gets injured or Swift figures out a way to endear himself to JVG.

12:53 PM  
Blogger Bendyr said...

I just dropped Swift myself... The blocks were nice, but I needed a Center to contribute in other categories too. With his minutes slipping in recent games I had to drop him like a bad habit.

1:32 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

first about Swift: He just look so talented when he does some things, but I'm starting to think he lacks basketball IQ and understanding of his role, until he figure that out, he will be a marginal player.

My own problem is that I know Kyle Korver, and him, along with Damon Stoudamire, Al Harrington and Jason Richardson are my only 3 point shooters, so Korver was drafted to carry my team in 3s. I haven't won a week in 3s as you can see. Should I just cut him loose and pickup Marquis Daniels, Nick Collison, or Brendan Haywood? not for 3s of course, but better value else where to help my team.


1:32 PM  
Blogger DM said...

I'd feel pretty comfortable dropping Swift at this point. I mean, it's his sixth year in the league and he's still prone to just dumb plays, enough so that it's quite possible he'll never be a guy who a coach can leave out there for an extended stretch. He's not even blocking shots this year. That said, the Rockets always seem to start slowly, so perhaps they will turn it around and Swift will be a part of that. But Juwan Howard just refuses to go away. He may suck, but it's a passive sort of sucking, so JVG might just keep running him out there for 25 mpg or so.

Korver's slowly starting to find his groove. He's hit at least two 3s in 5 of his last 6, and he could very well go on a binge where he gets 17 over three games or something. I like all of the players you mentioned, though. Love Daniels, and it was great to see him get 39 minutes in the first game that Christie was out. You fear that Darrell Armstrong might steal some of those, but the Mavs played only eight guys, all of them seeing 20+ minutes which is great news. He can do everything except hit 3s and get blocks.

Nick Collison seems to be entrenched in the starting lineup right now and should be solid. I watched almost the entire game against Boston and he's a guy coaches love. Most of his points came on layups/dunks/follows -- he doesn't take bad shots, crashes the boards and boxes out. He'll shoot a high percentage and grab lots of boards -- not a lot of steals or blocks, but you're not looking at him to be a savior, just a solid waiver wire find.

Brendan Haywood is a hometown fave and he's blocking tons of shots, but dude is the worst defensive rebounding big man in the league. No question. He has 32 defensive boards 8 games this season. That's not gonna cut it. It's why he won't play more than 30 minutes. The 42% from the line hurts too. He's been parked on my bench all season, and I like him there.

1:56 PM  
Blogger brent said...

i'm debating dropping either haywood or magliore to pickup collison. any thoughts? premature?

8:21 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

what is the best website for posting your roster and getting feedback about moves you should make? Thanks...

8:44 PM  
Blogger Simpsonfamily said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

8:44 PM  
Blogger Simpsonfamily said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

8:44 PM  
Blogger bv said...

well right now, collison has more value than haywood or magloire. so you should definitely make the move. as for who to drop, magloire is underperforming but by the end of the year he should have better numbers than haywood.

as for a good website to submit your roster to, well, we're thinking about starting a mailbag feature ... don't shy away from asking us!

8:57 PM  
Blogger Simpsonfamily said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

11:23 PM  
Blogger Simpsonfamily said...

Maybe you can do a full post on my roster as an example of how to examine your roster. Anyways, I am new to fantasy basketball and could use a few pointers. I have worked a few trades already, and here is what I got...

D. Wade
K. Bryant
J. Williams
Q. Richardson
S. Abdur-Rahim
P. Stojakovic
T. Duncan
C. Villanueva
M. Daniels
J. Howard

I play in a 10 team yahoo league based on these 11 stats:
We can start 8 every night, and I have not run into the problem of not being able to play everyone who is playing (we can change our rosters daily).

Obviously I have some strong players, but its my bench that I think needs some work. Here are the top currently avaliable players:

M. Peterson
J. Rose
S. Battier
J. Dixon
M. Miller
B. Wells
R. Felton
D. Jones
D. Williams
S. Telfair
D. Christie
E. Boykins
M. Williams
C. Duhon
S. Battier
R. Horry
Ja. Jones
S. Parker
D. Fisher
M. Williams
B. Knight
D. West

Thanks for your help...

11:28 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

bv you really think Collison has more value than Magloire? I think Magloire's blocks make him just ask valuable right now, and once he starts shooting better he should be in his old allstar form.

11:28 AM  
Blogger bv said...

right now, yes. Magloire is turning it around but still is struggling offensively.

1:14 PM  

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