Thursday, October 06, 2005

2005 Fantasy Tiers by Position: Power Forwards.

Taken early, a power forward can really help shape your draft. Taking a center-esque PF like Elton Brand in the first couple rounds means you can hold off on a center for a good while. Taking a PF that can step outside and knock down a three like Dirk Nowitzki early means you can wait a bit before taking a SG or SF, and concentrate on the scarcity positions.

Taken late, though, your options drop pretty dramatically. Power forwards don’t go terribly deep, mostly because anybody listed as a F/C is undoubtedly going to be played as a center. Luckily, there’s only one PF spot on your roster. Still, it’s nice to have a couple of options at every position, so try to grab two of these guys:

Tier One:
Kevin Garnett, Dirk Nowitzki

These guys should be off the board after four picks – maybe three. Garnett is up there with LeBron for the top player in the game, while Nowitzki might not qualify at center anymore, but still is an incredible value as a 7-category player.

Tier Two:
Elton Brand, Jermaine O’Neal, Chris Bosh.

These are your faux-centers. They block. They rebound. They score. If they qualified at center (as they all once did), they’d have incredible value. But they don’t. Still, with centers being at such a premium, guys who act like centers are pretty useful. It may be the difference between reaching for a guy like Zydraunas Ilgauskas in the 4th and being able to wait for someone like Nenad Krstic in the 7th or 8th.

Tier Three:
Dwight Howard, Rasheed Wallace, Pau Gasol.

Admittedly, Chris Bosh likely belongs in this group. But we here at FBB really like him this year. Also, Rasheed Wallace probably belongs with the Centers, but seriously, he’s not a center. We had to take a stand. Anyhow, these guys all could end up with top-25 value, but could also end up somewhere in the 40’s on the player rater at the end of the year. You can’t be terribly excited about any of them, but at some point they do become the best pick.

Tier Four:
Carlos Boozer, Kenyon Martin, Chris Webber, Zach Randolph

I’m not a huge fan of any of these guys. All of them are injury risks, all of them have question marks on the court, and a two of them (Randolph and Boozer) are really 3-category guys, and that’s it. Still, if they slip late enough and you can grab any of these guys in the 5th or 6th round, they could be great value.

Tier Five:
Antawn Jamison, Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Tyson Chandler.

These are some small tiers, huh? But that’s just because this position is so thin and varied. Here are the guys that you know you can have on your team and they’ll produce as long as they stay healthy. They might not produce a ton, but they’ll at least have marginal value.

Tier Six:
Donyell Marshall, Drew Gooden, Al Jefferson, Kurt Thomas, Darius Songaila, Troy Murphy, PJ Brown.

This tier are guys who really have an outside chance of being really valuable, but could just as easily be terrible, but JUST good enough that you can’t drop them. Every position has this tier – with Small Forwards it was the third tier. Here, it’s the sixth. DM is a huge fan of Donyell Marshall and he wants him to be much higher, but too bad! I think Troy Murphy could just as easily be a Tier 4 or 5 player.

Tier Seven:
Nick Collison, Eddie Griffin, Joe Smith, Kwame Brown, Vladimir Radmanovic, Udonis Haslem.

This tier could really be broken into high-risk high-reward guys (Kwame, Griffin) and low-but-solid value (Radmanovic, Smith). But we’re tired of all these three-person tiers. Given injuries, playing time, etc., all of these guys might end up with mid-round value, but some things are going to have to fall into place before that happens. Still, they’re all worth late-round flyers.

Tomorrow, we’ll wrap up positional tiers, with Centers.


Anonymous Kevin Coakley said...

Would you include Stomile Swift in the the Power Forward category? He'll probably play at that spot alongside Yao Ming at Center. What tier would you place him?

12:02 PM  
Blogger bv said...

True, swift will be playing more PF than C, but you can also see him playing some C when yao sits. The only F/C we didn't put in the C's was Sheed. If I was to put swift in a tier here, it would probably be somewhere around the fifth. But he will definitely come up tomorrow.

1:38 PM  
Blogger Biggs said...

Most leagues use the position of forward (F)- which allows a team amazing flexibility. Having anyone from Lebron James to Elton Brand at a position can have quite the dynamic effect on a team. Forward is probably the most important position in a draft because you can mold your team using the forward position. But, where is the love for Donyell Marshall?

10:20 PM  
Blogger bv said...

maybe i'm the only one not sold on marshall this year, but with Lebron, Big Z, and Hughes on the roster, that's like 65 ppg right there. Damon Jones and Drew Gooden will likely be good for 10 each themselves, putting them at 85. Where are his shots going to come in? On an offense-starved Toronto squad last year he only managed 9 shots, and nearly 2/3 of them were 3's. He's going to be needed on the offensive glass meaning less stepping out for 3's. I dunno. I'm just not convinced. He's more of a supporting piece in Cleveland.

and yeah, there are multiple-position spots on fantasy rosters, but you've gotta draw the line somewhere!

12:14 AM  

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