Friday, October 07, 2005

2005 Fantasy Tiers by Position: Centers

Ah, centers. Just like running backs in football or closers in baseball, you will often find yourself picking one when there is better talent elsewhere on the draft board. They’re such a commodity – especially if your league, like most, has 2 starting center spots. With the defection of Dirk Nowitzki to PF, we find ourselves with a new King of Centers. But much more important than those centers you can take early are the ones you’re forced to take late. Let’s sort through the royalty, and the rubble:

Tier One:
Amare Stoudamire, Tim Duncan
.
These are the only two – let me repeat here – ONLY TWO centers who should be taken in the first round. There is just far too much talent on the board to give up in order to grab a good-but-not-great center in the first round. Stoudamire is the new top center, more because of the question marks surrounding every other top big man out there, be it free throws, injuries, or a combination of both.

Tier Two:
Brad Miller, Shaquille O’Neal, Yao Ming.
That’s right, we’re putting Miller before O’Neal and Ming, and we’re not looking back. Granted, he’s a pretty big injury risk, but his assists, steals, and FT% are so strong from a C position. He’s Dirk-lite minus the 3’s. Shaq and Ming, you know exactly what you’re getting. These guys will be gone by the end of the second round.

Tier Three:
Ben Wallace, Zydraunas Ilgauskas.
These are the last of the totally solid centers, and once they’re gone, you can forget about centers until late in the fourth round. Granted, these aren’t great options and both have their weaknesses, but if you’re really light on boards and blocks going into the third round you have to consider them.

Tier Four:
Marcus Camby, Emeka Okafor, Jamaal Magloire.

If you’ve grabbed a center early, these guys are terrific second centers. If you haven’t grabbed a center early, I’d be very wary of taking any of them, as they all have questionable value. If you’ve waited this long to take a big man, you can likely wait a little longer.

Tier Five:
Sam Dalembert, Joel Przybilla, Andrew Bogut, Stromile Swift, Nenad Krstic, Raef LaFrentz
Every draft sees a run on centers, and this is where it happens. These guys could all be taken in the span of one round. If you’ve waited, you HAVE to get one of these guys. If your two starting centers are both below this tier, you’ve officially got a problem. This is the official ‘high-risk high-reward’ tier.

Tier Six:
Eddy Curry, Brendan Haywood, Lorenzen Wright, Erik Dampier, Primoz Brezec, Chris Kaman.
Here’s the danger tier. Any of these could end up with something near a double double and a couple blocks. They could also end up with 7 points, 7 boards, a block, and a spot on your bench. I would spend most of my research time on this tier and tier five.

Tier Seven:
Mehmet Okur, Mark Blount, Chris Mihm, Chris Andersen, Adonal Foyle, Nene Hilario, Nazr Mohammed, Kelvin Cato, Dan Gadzuric, Channing Frye.
If you have to draft any of these guys, you’re in some trouble. If you have to start them, you’re in serious trouble. That said, there may be some gems here, and if you really like one of them and want to spend a VERY late round pick on any of them, it’s OK by us.

12 Comments:

Anonymous will said...

I see you don't have Zaza Pachulia on your list. I'd rather have him over guys like Adonal Foyle, or even Primoz Brezec (since Sean May is in town to take his minutes). I heard he's a pretty good player, and should get the minutes at center in Atlanta.

2:59 PM  
Blogger MKD said...

Nice blog. I have another one about Penis Enlargement at... Just kidding. If you don't think Przybilla is going to be more valuable than Jamaal Magloire--one of the worst "best" centers in the NBA--I think you're crazy. Aside from that, great work here, once again.

3:42 PM  
Blogger bv said...

Pachulia, yeah, that's my bad. Where's my managing editor?! But he's definitely in Tier Six.

Przybilla, well, he's got a shot. but he's never proven himself over the course of a full season, while Magloire has. He's just such an unknown commodity this year. Remember Mark Blount last year? Could that be Przybilla this year? Who knows?

5:14 PM  
Anonymous son said...

I'm in a H2H keeper league, and I had the 2nd pick of the draft. My team so far is:
KG, Yao Ming, Bosh and Iguodala

I definitely need a PG or some 3pt help.

I'd want either Billups or Hinrich, but they're both off the chart. I'm not sure who to take between Mobley, Jason Terry, Andre Miller, Richard Jefferson (just cuz he's too good to pass up...). I also have the option of picking Chris Paul because this is a keeper league after all (4 keepers). What should I do?

6:02 PM  
Blogger bv said...

i'd say go with terry. he might not provide the assists you'd like from a top PG but he'll certainly contribute in 3's, and with assists coming from KG, you should be allright. I'd try and take another PG though in the next round or 2.

8:29 PM  
Anonymous chuck p said...

i havent heard much about pachulia. is he--for now--the starting C in atlanta? why would he make tier 6?

great site and insight..

12:10 AM  
Blogger bv said...

any time a guy qualifies for C and is looking at getting 30+ mpg, he's draftable - and often, startable. He's in tier 6 specifically because he's got very little competition for PT at C in atlanta.

1:04 AM  
Anonymous Kevin said...

Are you guys going to post an overall player rankings?

1:08 PM  
Blogger bv said...

yes, we'll get there - probably this week. but you can get a good idea of how we're thinking based on our mock draft and positional tiers.

12:03 PM  
Anonymous adam said...

Hey guys, great blog, it's been a great read. Anyway, what are your thoughts on Amare's injury? He's flying out to another doctor this week to find out if they should do surgery, rehab, etc. Since my draft is on Friday, where do you think he should be drafted at this point?

1:12 AM  
Blogger bv said...

thanks adam! as far as amare's knee goes, we don't claim to be doctors, but ya gotta be worried. at the same time this is something that can get way overhyped in the preseason and then he's fine. I still wouldn't let him fall out of the top 10 ... but i'd also look for some backup help just in case.

2:30 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

One word: Okur

4:13 AM  

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