Friday, September 30, 2005

Fantasy Basketball Mock Draft – Round Six

(For rounds one, two and three, just scroll down)

Players already on the team are in parentheses.

Team L: C. Webber (B. Simmons, J. Richardson, L. Odom, B. Miller , G. Arenas)
Team K: Q. Richardson (S. Dalembert, L. Hughes, P. Gasol, P. Pierce, A. Iverson)
Team J: A. Jamison (T. Chandler, Z. Ilgauskas, C. Billups, V. Carter, D. Wade)
Team I: C. Anthony (R. Hamilton, R. Lewis, J. Johnson, J. Kidd, A. Kirilenko)
Team H: A. Walker (R. Alston, M. Redd, D. Howard, S. Nash, T. Duncan)
Team G: A. Bogut (K. Martin, K. Hinrich, S. Francis, E. Brand, K. Bryant)
Team F: J. Williams (C. Boozer, R. Jefferson, M. Ginobili, M. Bibby, A. Stoudamire)
Team E: C. Paul (C. Mobley, A. Miller, B. Wallace, J. O’Neal, T. McGrady)
Team D: D. Williams (Z. Randolph, M. Camby, C. Bosh, S. Marbury, S. Marion)
Team C: D. Marshall (C. Maggette, A. Iguodala, B. Davis, Y. Ming, D. Nowitzki)
Team B: T. Parker (R. Wallace, E. Okafor, R. Artest, S. O’Neal, L. James)
Team A: S. Swift (J. Magloire, J. Terry, R. Allen, P. Stojakovic, K. Garnett)

So here we are. The sixth round – the final round of our mock draft. Why six? Well, as you can see, somewhere around the middle of the sixth round is where the draft can go in a million different directions. Some of the guys we picked near the end of the round – Deron Williams, for example, or Donyell Marshall – could very easily go in the eighth round, or later. At this point is all a matter of the people in your league. The first few rounds are pretty easy to forecast. By the sixth, the point of a mock draft – mapping out where you think folks will go in the draft – becomes a lot of guesswork. Of course, we have our personal late-round favorites, and we’ll disclose those to you in the next few weeks.

Anyhow, let’s see what happens in our sixth round. We see another tier split somewhere around Antoine Walker, Andrew Bogut and White Chocolate. For those of you counting at home (or, more likely, at work), we put the tier-endings at the following picks: 2, 9, 31, 44, and 65. We’ll go into more detailed position-specific tiers and rankings next week. So the beginning of the round is spent taking the last few solid, almost-sure-thing contributors on the board, and the end of the round is either spent on high-risk high-reward players like Marshall and Swift, or probably-pretty-good players like Chris Paul and Tony Parker.

After 6 rounds, I think that really the best 2 picks to have are 1 and 2, which doesn’t happen often, but that huge third tier really puts them at an advantage. The worst spots? Probably at the back of the draft, picks 10-12. They don’t get any “top” players, and those early picks in the second, fourth and six rounds don’t really make up for that fact.

So there you have it – the 2005 Fantasy Basketblog Mock Draft.


Blogger Biggs said...

Webber in the sixth round? Although his knees might blow out at any moment, it's a risk I'd be willing to take.

11:36 PM  
Blogger bv said...

exactly. though i wouldn't be surprised to see someone take a shot at him in the 4th or even third ... we couldn't justify taking him any earlier than we did.

11:58 PM  
Blogger p_bulatovic said...

Do you believe that Richardson's and Walker's horrible precentages justify drafting them even this late? Especially considering that they are both now 3rd or even 4th options on their new teams.

6:29 PM  
Blogger bv said...

remember, walker was in a similar position a few years ago in dallas, and put up 14/8.3/4.5 with a 3, and decent defensive numbers. That's about a 6th round player right there.

As for Q-Rich, he led the league in 3's last year. And while we don't expect him to necessarily do that again, you can't let a guy like that fall TOO far.

8:06 PM  
Blogger p_bulatovic said...

I don't doubt there overall statistics, they provide a lot, but taking a look at Walker's career precentages (.415-FG .326-3PT .642-FT) and Richardson's (.406-FG .353-3PT .716-FT), i personally feel there are more reliable players left.

Although Richardson did lead the league in 3pter's, he also led in 3pter's attempted by a large margin.

9:11 PM  
Blogger bv said...

I agree, and odds are neither Q nor 'Toine will be on my fantasy team this year. but at the same time, i think the 6th round is about where both of them will go.

10:17 PM  

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