Monday, February 07, 2005

Weekend Review

As we said Friday in our Weekend Preview, this weekend was a pretty important one for teams trying to figure out if they were still in the playoff picture or not. Getting a feel for which teams might be adding, and which might be subtracting, during the trading season can give you a leg up on your fantasy opponents. So let’s see who was most dramatically effected by the games this weekend:

Minnesota Timberwolves – Yikes. The T-Wolves are just falling apart, and are now in the midst of a 5-game losing streak to teams including Milwaukee and Boston. At this point they’re 1.5 games back of the Kobe-less Lakers for the final playoff spot in the West, and fading fast. Latrell Spewell and Sam Cassell, both in the last year of their contracts, are among the top candidates to be moved to a contender at the deadline, and this poor weekend may have pushed forward a timetable for that trade. A good preemptive move might be trying to trade for Wally Szczerbiak, or picking up Troy Hudson or Eddie Griffin from the waiver wires, as they all could see more court time and be depended on for their scoring ability if/when Spree and Cassell get moved.

Toronto Raptors – The Raptors may have saved their season with about 20 minutes of the most inspired basketball they’d played all year long. Down 22 against the Wizards on Friday in the 3rd quarter, an assault led by Jalen Rose, Rafer Alston and a rejuvenated Donyell Marshall brought them back for the victory. While they promptly went out and lost to Dallas the next night, the effort against the Wizards may have done enough that they won’t trade away Rose or Marshall just yet. Rose is averaging 21.8 ppg and 35 minutes over his last 5 games, and is a terrific buy-fake-high candidate right now.

New Jersey Nets – Another team lucky to be in the East, where a sub-.500 record is good enough to still have hopes of the playoffs, the Nets had a monster win against Detroit Saturday afternoon. While they don’t really have any assets to use to add a player to the team, you’ve got to think that because they’re only 3 1/2 games back in the lowly Atlantic, they’re not going to be trading Jason Kidd anywhere. Of course, they’re one Vince Carter knee twist from going in a totally opposite direction.

A Sura Thing

Now, from the "Guys who play their best basketball after turning 30" department, we have Bobby "Bob" Sura. It took him about 20 games to get himself together, but since mid-January he’s averaging 13 points, 6.1 boards, 5.6 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.1 3’s. Yesterday against the Lakers, he was 2 assists shy of a triple-double. He may have been the biggest benefactor of the Wesley-Jackson trade earlier in the year, and it looks like his amazing numbers with the Hawks last year were no fluke. I can’t imagine he’s on anyone’s FA wire right now, but nonetheless, he’s a guy to target in next year’s draft.

3 Comments:

Blogger Nels said...

What exactly is a buy-fake-high candidate? Do you buy someone fake-high if you're trying to sandbag your team for a better draft position next year's keeper draft?

12:42 PM  
Blogger bv said...

Shep,
"buy fake high" is a term coined by DM, and you can read all about it here: http://fantasybasketblog.blogspot.com/2004/11/buy-low-sell-high-been-there-done-that.html

basically, "buy fake high" is a strategy where you trade for a player who most people think is just playing better than normal right now - but really, they are playing at a level that you can expect them to continue at for the rest of the year. does that help?

1:34 PM  
Blogger Nels said...

That helps... and I like the idea. Just seems like the name is confusing...

10:14 PM  

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