Wednesday, February 09, 2005

Let’s Review.

With the trading deadline coming up in the real NBA, I thought it might be a good idea to take a look back at some of the trades that happened earlier in the year and see how they’ve turned out. Without further ado:

12/27 – Rockets acquire David Wesley from Hornets for Jim Jackson and Bostjan Nachbar
Wesley, somewhat predictably, took a slight hit in value after this move. That’s what happens when you go from a team featuring 3 injured all-stars to 2 healthy ones. His scoring has slipped below 10 ppg with the Rockets, and white his 3’s are slightly up, this trade moved him from roster worthy to waiver wire material. Nachbar, buried on the bench in Houston, has shown flashes in New Orleans, including a 21-point, 4 – 3 pointer outburst against the Jazz last week, but is also not worth owning right now. Jim Jackson, well, we’ll get to him a bit later.

1/3 – Warriors acquire Zarko Cabarkapa from Suns for future draft picks
Cabarkapa is one of those guys that we think will produce when given the minutes. Unfortunately, no one seems to want to give them to him. When Troy Murphy got hurt, we had hoped Zarko would see 30-35 mpg – instead, the Warriors have gone with a small lineup. Nonetheless, Zarko has seen 15.6 minutes per game so far this month, and has responded with 9.2 points, 4.2 boards, 0.6 steals, 0.6 blocks, and 50% shooting from the field. He’s a deep (very deep) sleeper to have some value in the second half, and depending on his situation next year could be a great late-round draft pick.

1/10 – Magic acquire Doug Christie for from Kings for Cuttino Mobley and Michael Bradley
Since trying to improve their defense with this deal, the Magic are still giving up over 98 points per game, and are 7-8 with Christie on their roster. Christie has had problems getting into the offensive flow in Orlando, scoring only 2 points in each of the last 2 games and averaging a horrendous 6.4. His assists and rebound numbers are also down, and he is not worth owning in any league right now. Mobley, despite missing some time with injuries, is enjoying 38 mpg right now in Sacramento, has upped his assists to 3.8 per game, and should be a top-50 player from this point on.

1/21 Pistons acquire Carlos Arroyo from Utah for Elden Campbell and a future first rounder.
Never has a players stock dropped so much as Arroyo’s with no injuries or any other real substantive reason. Now with the Pistons, he’s a clear backup, and shouldn’t have any real value unless Chauncey Billups gets hurt. Those of you still holding on to him can give him up. Elden Campbell was released, signed by the Nets, and also has no value.

1/21 Suns acquire Jim Jackson from Hornets for Maceij Lampe, Jackson Vroman and Casey Jacobsen.
Aww, poor Jim Jackson. He didn’t wanna play for the Hornets. So they shipped him out and got a pretty good return. Jackson will likely be a borderline fantasy player over the rest of the year. Some nights he’ll have 5 3’s, like he did twice in three games January, sometimes he’ll score 4 of his team’s 123 points, like he did last night in Sacramento. The Hornets, meanwhile, got a future FBB favorite in Lampe who isn’t worth owning this year, plus an interesting player in Casey Jacobsen. After struggling a bit in his first few games, he’s put up 12.8 points per game in February. He’s not roster material just yet, and we’ll have to see how Baron Davis’s return affects his numbers. But he’s definitely one to keep an eye on down the line.

So, what’s the lesson here? None of the players who’ve been traded are putting up significantly better numbers with their new team. A couple – Cabarkapa and Mobley, for example – are doing slightly better, but that’s probably just due to more minutes. And quite a few players have definitely lost some value in their new homes. So be sure to temper your expectations when you see a player’s name on the trading block – new scenery doesn’t necessarily mean new value.

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