Monday, December 27, 2004

Wait For It...

An interesting trade just went down in the NBA. It wasn’t interesting in the sense that there were intriguing, big name players involved. It was intriguing in the sense that it sort of happened for no reason. The 2-24 Hornets get Jim Jackson and Bostjan Nachbar from the underachieving Rockets for David Wesley. Sure, the Hornets get to shed some salary and the Rockets get a guard they need, but this move isn’t really going to do much for either team. It seems like a trade that was made just to be made.

Which brings us to today’s topic. If you’ve found this site then it means you take your fantasy basketball pretty seriously. It is not something you take lightly. You don’t check your team once or twice a week – you check once or twice per hour. There’s nothing wrong with this, no matter what your girlfriend/wife/mom/dad/alternate personality might say. If you are going to compete, you compete to win. You want to gather as much information as possible to help you emerge victorious.

But there is a downside to this. The more information you have, the more you feel it necessary to constantly tweak your team. You always think you can get an advantage. And while this may be true, you have to fight that urge. For the most part, the players you have on your team are there for a reason – because you like them. Maybe in the first two rounds of the draft you take the best player available, even if you don’t love them, but for the most part after that you are getting players you specifically like. Hopefully you like them because they, y’know, good players. And assuming that’s the case, force yourself to remember that.

Basically, you don’t want to force yourself to make a deal just to make a deal. You spend so much time checking box scores and player notes and stuff like that, you feel like that has to translate into making moves. Sometimes it does, but that’s not always the case. If there’s an obvious upgrade to be made, do it. But unless it’s an obvious upgrade, try to restrain yourself. Because once you start making unnecessary moves, it can start a dangerous chain reaction. You make that first move, but then notice that another part of your team needs help, so you make another move. Soon you are constantly filling one hole and creating another, and your team is a mess. So just take a deep breath, and try to be as objective as possible. Sometimes clichés can be right: The best moves are the ones you don’t make.

With that out of the way, let’s talk about a fantasy superstar who returned to the hardwood recently: Baron Davis. As someone who has had Baron on my team far too much the past three years, I can only offer this advice – wait for him to get back into the starting lineup, and right after he has one of those 36-point, 6-three pointers, 11-assist, 5-steal games, think very hard about him. Yes, Chad Ford is talking about him being on the Clippers radar, and playing for his hometown team could inspire him, but it’s Chad Ford’s job to spout out crazy rumors so you will pay ESPN $5 per month to read those rumors. But the fact remains that Baron is a very injury-prone player who was unhappy on his team BEFORE they got off to a 2-24 start. He’s got top-10 fantasy talent when he’s healthy, and if you’ve been holding on to him for this long you probably want to see what he can do for you. But whereas before I was preaching patience, the same tactic might not work with Baron. Chances are you’ll get less than full value for him, but that’s to be expected. What’s better – getting someone with third round value for your early second rounder, or holding onto your early second rounder and watching him go down for the season, leaving you with a free agent to fill his place?


Blogger Tim said...

The Jackson-Wesley trade may not do much for either team, but I give credit to the teams for not going with the status quo. Both teams have underachieved and might benefit from a mini-shakeup. Everyone knows Jim Jackson's kind of a malcontent, though, so I wonder how he'll play in New Orleans.

9:38 AM  

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